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Often we see some change in bullish trend, someone name it as a pause, correction, bear market & recession & even some time as depression.
But when we see Correction on indices or weakness in economy, it doesn’t mean that all stock will start correct.
So its necessary to go stock specific to add gains in your portfolio.
We get Some stocks which are in bull or Strong Bull trend even in correction & recession.
One more thing, i want to add is that good Stocks always outperform the index, although if you don’t know how to select good stock, then its better to invest on indices.
Because, you can’t get good return, if you fail to select a good stock.
And the stock will run away along with your innerwear, if you add BAD stocks in your portfolio!
Jokes apart, equity is a risky asset, & it contains Good & bad equity stocks. So one should select the stocks very carefully for investing purpose. The expectation are simple from the selected stocks.
The select stocks must give the more return than inflation rate, bank FD rate, & index return along with time given.
Yes, Time is Money, So we must expect return even for time given for the stock.
Suppose, you have invested $1000 for 10 years in a stock & you got the same amount after selling it after 10 years, then it doesn’t mean that you didn’t get return, it means that you lost some amount of money. yeah, the stock has eaten your money as well as time. The value of $1000 will be come down after 10 years, when you calculate it by comparing with inflation.
So i repeat, Indices are always better than an average or BAD stock, whereas GOOD stocks are not less than any angels.
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Take a look of the chart of shanghai composite index .
As we know, karl marx,a German philosopher said: History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce.
Is below chart of shanghai composite also trying to say the above line??
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Equity markets are trading sideways, as traders are waiting for upcoming big triggers.
Next triggers can move & shake all equity, Forex & commodity markets & we may some surprise movement.
We should stay alert with well hedged positions in all segment when Egypt’s decision come on or near Jan 25, ECB may announce QE on / before or after Jan 22.
There is some rumors about Japan’s one more big QE, it can be a major trigger if happened.
Although, falling commodity prices especially Crude & strengthen USD making preparation for Global slowdown.
There is no any symptoms of reversal in crude in these days, but going fresh short is a risky game.
world bank lowered global growth forecast, is also not a good sign.
It think its time to stay away from low & medium quality stocks & stay with quality stocks. Global triggers may give positive surprise but average quality stocks may start reversing to its previous low.
I’m not too much Bearish on indices but negative on average quality stocks,& not bullish on most of commodity prices.
Charts are not saying that EUR/USD is good to buy & USD/JPY is good to sell, so go with trend is better for traders.
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Problems never comes ALONE …….!
It seems like bad time of market has been started or is about to start….
Problems for global economies are started one by one…
US FED stopped Bond Buying Program… (QE3)
Euro & almost all currencies depreciated against USD
The cold war of currency depreciation has been repeated by policy makers of major countries (the mistake has been repeated of the great depreciation of 1920, & the History might be repeating itself.)
Crude going down.
Not seen a celebration (big rally) even after Japan’s QE
we have already seen the bubble of Silver & Gold busted before the QE3 going back. (before announce of QE we have seen bubble bust of real estate in US)
Correcting most of commodity prices.
Slow down news from China, Japan.
Downgrade of Japan
Global Equity market are correcting one by one… Shanghai….Rusia… nikkei….. Dax… Dow… India….. So… & so…..
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Tech Study
DE30 Daily short below 9400
JP225 Daily short sl above 17550
US30 Daily short below 17000
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