Do you Love google than TCS?

Do you eger to invest in US stocks like google, apple, tesla than indian stocks like TCS, INFY?

Then this chart is specially for you!

just watch this chart.

TCS outperformed google

On 01 Feb 2007 & 01 Sep 2009, the prices of alphabet inc (i.e. google) & TCS are same. (Forget currency factor)

In Nov 2021, TCS is around 3560 & Google is around 2970, means TCS has given more return.

Wait, wait….. I know you want to say that in 2007/2009 the USDINR was near 45 & its now 74, so investment in google has given good return. But i want to ask you some questions;

Will you sell google stock held by you? if sold, then in which stock you invest?

Have you calculated the dividend paid by TCS?

Can you get hedging tools easily in US market than indian market?

If the Answers are not clear then i ask you why Google? And why not TCS?

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brent oil (ukoil) monthly chart

US oil monthly chart

The chart indicates that the bull rally is still remained in US oil as well as UK oil (brent crude oil). any correction around $ 65- $60 might be good opportunity to enter long. Expecting move above $100, $120 in coming months.Going stort in oil before any sell signal is very dangerous, as it might break previous level of year 2007.

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Gold comex chart

Its look like gold on comex may continue trade in positive mode, as the selling pressure is low.

any trade above 1900 with good volume can show 2100 in coming months.

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Live Rates & charts

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US Soyabean Chart

see below is the chart of Soyabean Chart traded on CBOt exchange.

Looks like soyabean take support here, and prices may get support from crop damage in india, china US trade war. Any slide in INR against USD will be more profitable for indian traders. Anyway, this my personal view, this study should not be assumed as any long or short recommendation.

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Get NCDEX commodities Prices on Whatsapp

Dear Traders, you can get NCDEX commodities Prices on your whatsapp number.

To start the alert, you have to save this NCDEX whatsapp number 8879223388

After saving this number you have to send the following message on the above whatsapp number.

Hi NCDEX

This is <Name>

I am interested in <commodity name> information

and send this message. you will start getting updates on your mobile.

e.g.

Hi NCDEX

This is <Eagle>

I am interested in <Gold> information

• Visit & Contact Ncdex website, if you have any problem in getting alert.

Option Trading opportunity in Agro commodity

Ncdex has announced about launching of option contract in Guar seed.

the trading Symbol for future is GUARSEED10 on NCDEX site & trader’s terminal.

Reuters Instrumental Code for Guar seed is 0#NGU:

All of the traders in agro commodity, already knew that Guar seed & Guar Gum are the most traded contracts in agro pack.

8-9 years back, we have seen huge rally in Guar. traders got very huge returns in that time.

Anyway that time trader must have to trade in future only , but now traders will get a chance to trade in options by paying premium only.

keep visiting NCDEX website for further updates related to launching of option contract in Guar Seed.

Happy Trading!

Broker selection

Generally many traders/ investors are confused about broker selection.

Brokers having two categories.

Full service brokers.

Discount brokers

Full service brokers are those who provide you all service into trading , investing. like he mail you early in the morning a report which contains last day’s FII, DII data, world market trend, crude, USDINR data,investment picks, trading calls for the day & bla bla bla… Full service brokers provide you a terminal on which you can see charts.he provide you some exposer for trading. But his brokerage slab is expensive, this is the one painful thing, which causes clients run off after some duration of trading, & the client start trading with discount broker.

Discount brokers are those who generally provide you semi-algo terminal like nest, or similar next generation software. But discount broker don’t send/mail you any financial awareness report which might increase your knowledge. most of discount broker don’t provide IPO service. they have high pledging charges.BUT they apply you very very low brokerage taxes compared to full service broker.

So which is best?

if you don’t need any help in market research , having good intraday strategy, enough trading capital then discount broker can be better choice. but if you want to trade on exposer derived from pledging your holding then discount broker might not be good choice. discount broker provide you cover/bracket order which are very useful in intraday trading as you can place 3 orders without paying extra margin. discount brokers compulsory sqare off your holding before market close.but full service broker can give you some time to pay cheque or BTST facility without paying extra margin (its depend upon your relation on broker & his flexibility). Full service broker & his dealers call you when your position is in profit/loss, as they are monitoring all clients position, this is a good advantage if you are not always in front of screen. All in all both are good, the main point is that what are your requirement?

As per my opinion, high or low brokerage is not any issue or don’t affect on your balance, if you have good trading strategy.i have seen many traders, who previously blamed to full service broker due to high charges they have lost money. And even shifted to discount broker, they are still losing money! Reason? because they stopped learning, analyzing & started overtrading as their brokerage is now almost zero. so they buy & sell continuously within some small points. overtrading is the weapon which kills the knowledge of traders. So i say trade less but perfect! enjoy!

Happy Trading!

How much return we can expect from Stock & commodity market?

Generally Stock market goes up.Now come to the question,
How much return we can expect from Stock & commodity market or an investor can earn by trading/investing in stocks or commodities? an investor who has diversified portfolio with well balanced Large cap stocks, often gets good returns.

Many peoples think that intraday traders can earn more than investor, but in actual the reality is different.

Sometimes intraday traders get good returns even daily 1-5% per day when market is in euphoria stage, Even Shortsellers also earns the same return when market suffers from high selloff recession stage, BUT wait, wait, wait, it is not easy as we think, those trades are high risk high return deals.So its not a everyone’s business.

Just imagine, a brave hunter enters in the cave of lion & catch the diamonds felled near the neck of slept lion & run out before king lion get wakes up. can you do it without any mistake? intraday trading is not different than the above story.

So, its better to stay Investor & be tension-free. An investor with good knowledge can earn easily 15-25% return per year.

Skilled Positional investor, who has better knowledge & deep study of that sector along with balancesheet analysis & technical skills, can earn more than 30-60% return per year.

Most of intraday trader waste their precious time, huge money, & neurons on the process or condition whatever you say, on which you don’t know what to happen, & is not in their control.instead of that hardly 2-5% intraday traders make money, & others loose their wealth.So doing intraday trading is not less risky than driving a vehicle in death circle.Database of returns earned by intraday traders is not accurate in media,as those who loose wealth leave the market permanently with blaming that stock market is a pure gambling.Whereas stockbrokers always say that intraday trader is a king, as they get their 99.99% revenue from intraday traders.

All in all if you don’t know anything in about Stock market, you should invest in mutual funds only.

You can become longterm investor, if you have some knowledge & taken a advice from investment advisor.

You can do positional trading/investing & earn better returns, if you are expert in reading chart signals, understand balancesheets along with better terminal skill, speed of placing orders & good experience of trading minimum 2-4 years.

Final words: before doing trading/investing you must work on your financial management, risk acceptable, calculating all earnings & its sources,& other factors.Don’t forget to discuss with your finacial advisor/portfolio manager before investing single penny in stock market, because afterall its your money. Happy investing.

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*  Views & expressions don’t means that it is a recommendation for buy/sell/hold any stock/index/commodity/currency.

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*  posted  Study doesn’t mean a Trading Call, or any investment idea, it is provided only for study.

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Data sources

Whenever we think to do technical study, our main issue is data of the stock.

most of us develop, a trading strategy, an indicator, & want to test it on historical data on realtime data or EOD data basis.

So, here i am giving some links where you can get the  realtime/EOD data in either on web chart or for download in various forms like excel.

the excel data is very useful for us when u backtest your indicator on various software or doing calculations on excel sheets with your own developed strategies.

ok, lets visit the below great websites:

https://www.quandl.com

this site give you  realtime & EOD data of almost all stocks & indices of many countries.

I am very thankful to provide these data for users. I found indian Stock EOD data on below link:

https://www.quandl.com/data/NSE-National-Stock-Exchange-of-India?page=3

* One should check & agree with the terms & conditions of the website, & please check data charges applied by them.For some time the EOD data may free,i am not sure, so please check it before use, & subscribe to plan which is suit for you.

second website i found is tradingview.com

this site give you almost all stocks & indices chart data on realtime & EOD basis.

you may see domestics stock charts as well as foreign stock exchange data & forex, commodity exchange (CBOT,NYMAX etc.) by simply changing the symbol.

this site give you spot as well as future data on chart.there as some indicators available devolved by user, you can try it.

Please subscribe the suitable package to get realtime chart data & to use premium indicators.

One more point i want to add is that quandl.com provides you some fundamental data along with technical data, so it may more beneficial to analyst & users who study balance sheet & other fundamental data.

* The links given here are without permission of the web sites.

* We will remove the above links, if anybody has objection on sharing the links, please write us to remove the same if objection on eagle@eaglemoney.in .

* We don’t have any connection with the above websites, so use it, transact with it on your own risk.

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* © 2012 Eagle Money.  All Right Reserved

Detailed reports for Premium members

Dear Premium members,

you will get all the detailed reports on below given link.

http://eaglemoneypro.blogspot.in/

You should have to login to read the reports.

kindly email us, if you face any problem in logging in or getting the reports on email.

Thanks.

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Research & study reports for premium members

Dear users & members,

As all of you know, we post here free study & analysis only.

For premium members we have created a special link where our members can read all the premium calls/studies, & research report before the movement occurs in stock, index, currency/forex & commodities.

On below link you will get all the detail study including forecast/prediction of stock/index & commodities, micro-analyse report, technical levels, fundamental study,global market overview etc..

the link for premium members is given below

http://eaglemoneypro.blogspot.in/

In future, we will mail all the reports to our premium members.

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*  views & posts are only for study purpose.

*  posted  Study doesn’t mean a Trading Call, or any investment idea, it is provided only for study.

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Often we see some change in bullish trend, someone name it as a pause, correction, bear market & recession & even some time as depression.

But when we see Correction on indices or weakness in economy, it doesn’t mean that all stock will start correct.

So its necessary to go stock specific to add gains in your portfolio.

We get Some stocks which are in bull or Strong Bull trend even in correction & recession.

One more thing, i want to add is that good Stocks always outperform the index, although if you don’t know how to select good stock, then its better to invest on indices.

Because, you can’t get good return, if you fail to select a good stock.

And the stock will run away along with your innerwear, if you add BAD stocks in your portfolio!

Jokes apart, equity is a risky asset, & it contains Good & bad equity stocks. So one should select the stocks very carefully for investing purpose. The expectation are simple from the selected stocks.

The select stocks must give the more return than inflation rate, bank FD rate, & index return along with time given.

Yes, Time is Money, So we must expect return even for time given for the stock.

Suppose, you have invested $1000 for 10 years in a stock & you got the same amount after selling it after 10 years, then it doesn’t mean that you didn’t get return, it means that you lost some amount of money. yeah, the stock has eaten your money as well as time. The value of $1000 will be come down after 10 years, when you calculate it by comparing with inflation.

So i repeat, Indices are always better than an average or BAD stock, whereas GOOD stocks are not less than any angels.

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*  Views & expressions don’t means that it is a recommendation for buy/sell/hold any stock/index/commodity/currency.

*  views & posts are only for study purpose.

*  posted  Study doesn’t mean a Trading Call, or any investment idea, it is provided only for study.

*  You should not use this website, if you are not agree with our Terms & Conditions.

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History may repeat itself?

Take a look of the chart of shanghai composite index .

As we know, karl marx,a German philosopher said: History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce.

Is below chart of shanghai composite also trying to say the above line??

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* Views & expressions don’t means that it is a recommendation for buy/sell/hold any stock/index/commodity.

* views & posts are only for study purpose.

*  posted  Study doesn’t mean a Trading Call, it is provided only for study.

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Triggers ahead ! trade carefully..

Equity markets are trading sideways, as traders are waiting for upcoming big triggers.

Next triggers can move & shake all equity, Forex & commodity markets & we may some surprise movement.

We should stay alert with well hedged positions in all segment when Egypt’s decision come on or near Jan 25, ECB may announce QE on / before or after Jan 22.

There is some rumors about Japan’s one more big QE, it can be a major trigger if happened.

Although, falling commodity prices especially Crude & strengthen USD making preparation for Global slowdown.

There is no any symptoms of reversal in crude in these days, but going fresh short is a risky game.

world bank lowered global growth forecast, is also not a good sign.

It think its time to stay away from low & medium quality stocks & stay with quality stocks. Global triggers may give positive surprise but average quality stocks may start reversing to its previous low.

I’m not too much Bearish on indices but negative on average quality stocks,& not bullish on most of commodity prices.

Charts are not saying that EUR/USD is good to buy & USD/JPY is good to sell, so go with trend is better for traders.

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* Views & expressions don’t means that it is a recommendation for buy/sell/hold any stock/index/commodity.

* views & posts are only for study purpose.

*  posted  Study doesn’t mean a Trading Call, it is provided only for study.

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Problems never comes ALONE !

Problems never comes ALONE …….!

It seems like bad time of market has been started or is about to start….

Problems for global economies are started one by one…

US FED stopped Bond Buying Program… (QE3)

Euro & almost all currencies depreciated against USD

The cold war of currency depreciation has been repeated by policy makers of major countries (the mistake has been repeated of the great depreciation of 1920, & the History might be repeating itself.)

Crude going down.

Not seen a celebration (big rally) even after Japan’s QE

we have already seen the bubble of Silver & Gold busted before the QE3 going back. (before announce of QE we have seen bubble bust of real estate in US)

Correcting most of commodity prices.

Slow down news from China, Japan.

Downgrade of Japan

Global Equity market are correcting one by one… Shanghai….Rusia… nikkei….. Dax… Dow… India….. So… & so…..

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* Views & expressions don’t means that it is a recommendation for buy/sell/hold any stock/index/commodity.

* views & posts are only for study purpose.

Tech Study

             DE30 Daily short below 9400

JP225 Daily short sl above 17550

            US30 Daily short below 17000 

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*  posted  Study doesn’t mean a Trading Call, it is provided only for study.

Chance of Reversal ?

We have seen sharp fall in almost all global indices as well as most stocks in last week, due to fear of global slowdown. So all Long positions are either booked or triggered stoplosses.

Going Short at this time on global Indices & Stocks is quite risky, its definately sell signal but “not Short sell”.

we must wait for a weekly close to analyse & confirm Short sell signal, till better to wait & stay light in position.

Falling commodity prices will create problems to all economies, & its a effect of currency war.

Most of global indices may top out & start correcting, if ECB doesn’t take favourable decisions, although signal are not clear So better to avoid aggressive positions.

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bullish Stocks

I am still bullish & expecting some upside movement in following stocks in comming trading sessions.

ACC
ARVIND
BHARAT FORGE
IDBI
KTKBANK
SYNDICATE BANK

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* Views & expressions doesn’t means that it is a buy/sell/hold call in actual trading.